IPCC Good Practice Guidance recommends that inventory agencies use
the Tier 2 method for identifying key categories if nationally derived
source-level uncertainties are available. The Tier 2 approach is a more detailed analysis that builds on the Tier
1 approach by multiplying the results of the Tier 1 analysis by the relative
uncertainty of each category. This method is likely to reduce the
number of key categories under consideration. Using the Tier 2 approach, key categories represent 90 percent of the quantified uncertainty contribution, as opposed to those that sum to the pre-determined cumulative emissions or trend threshold (i.e., 95 percent). A simple spreadsheet can account for the uncertainty contribution by
applying the category percentage uncertainty estimates and the
Tier 1 level and trend assessments (see Chapter
7 of the IPCC Good Practice Guidance for a complete discussion of
how this threshold was established). |
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